TY - JOUR KW - AIDS Serodiagnosis/economics/utilization KW - Computer Simulation KW - Continuity of Patient Care/statistics & numerical data KW - Cost-Benefit Analysis KW - Counseling/economics/utilization KW - Decision Support Techniques KW - HIV Infections/diagnosis/epidemiology/therapy KW - Humans KW - Investments/statistics & numerical data KW - Mass Screening/economics/utilization KW - Models, Statistical KW - Patient Acceptance of Health Care/statistics & numerical data KW - Prevalence KW - Probability KW - Quality-Adjusted Life Years KW - Referral and Consultation/economics/utilization KW - Resource Allocation/economics KW - Sensitivity and Specificity KW - United States/epidemiology AU - R. P. Walensky AU - M. C. Weinstein AU - H. E. Smith AU - K. A. Freedberg AU - A. D. Paltiel A1 - AB - BACKGROUND: Health screening programs can be represented as a pathway of sequential processes: offering a test, obtaining consent, conducting the test, providing results, and linking to appropriate care. Using the example of HIV testing, the authors explore the optimal targeting of funds within this pathway. METHODS: The authors develop a microsimulation of HIV testing services and decompose the likelihood that an unidentified HIV-infected person will receive care into the probability of testing [P(test)] and the probability of follow-up [P(follow)] defined as returning for results and linking to care. The authors examine the clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of alternative investments in these component probabilities. RESULTS: At 1% undiagnosed HIV prevalence, cost-effectiveness ratios for HIV testing cluster around $33,000/QALY (quality-adjusted life year) gained. A program with a yield of 0.16 via P(test)=0.20 and P(follow)=0.80 has a cost-effectiveness ratio of $32,900/QALY compared with $36,300/QALY for a program where P(test)=0.80 and P(follow)=0.20. Interventions that improve the probability of success in later stages in the testing pathway [P(follow)] are more cost-effective than investments devoted to earlier stages [P(test)]. CONCLUSIONS: Equivalent pathway outcomes in a screening program do not confer equal value. Limited screening resources are best targeted toward returning for results and linkage among those already identified with disease rather than offering testing to additional people. BT - Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making C5 - HIT & Telehealth CP - 3 CY - United States DO - 10.1177/0272989X05276955 IS - 3 JF - Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making N2 - BACKGROUND: Health screening programs can be represented as a pathway of sequential processes: offering a test, obtaining consent, conducting the test, providing results, and linking to appropriate care. Using the example of HIV testing, the authors explore the optimal targeting of funds within this pathway. METHODS: The authors develop a microsimulation of HIV testing services and decompose the likelihood that an unidentified HIV-infected person will receive care into the probability of testing [P(test)] and the probability of follow-up [P(follow)] defined as returning for results and linking to care. The authors examine the clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of alternative investments in these component probabilities. RESULTS: At 1% undiagnosed HIV prevalence, cost-effectiveness ratios for HIV testing cluster around $33,000/QALY (quality-adjusted life year) gained. A program with a yield of 0.16 via P(test)=0.20 and P(follow)=0.80 has a cost-effectiveness ratio of $32,900/QALY compared with $36,300/QALY for a program where P(test)=0.80 and P(follow)=0.20. Interventions that improve the probability of success in later stages in the testing pathway [P(follow)] are more cost-effective than investments devoted to earlier stages [P(test)]. CONCLUSIONS: Equivalent pathway outcomes in a screening program do not confer equal value. Limited screening resources are best targeted toward returning for results and linkage among those already identified with disease rather than offering testing to additional people. PP - United States PY - 2005 SN - 0272-989X; 0272-989X SP - 321 EP - 329 EP - T1 - Optimal allocation of testing dollars: the example of HIV counseling, testing, and referral T2 - Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making TI - Optimal allocation of testing dollars: the example of HIV counseling, testing, and referral U1 - HIT & Telehealth U3 - 10.1177/0272989X05276955 VL - 25 VO - 0272-989X; 0272-989X Y1 - 2005 ER -